... economy wise, given that the current field of four 'major' presidential candidates will probably be narrowed down to two ...
Barack - supports tax increases, supports social welfare spending increases, supports closing loopholes for the very rich, supports bigger gov't ... could be taken very badly by Wall St., hedge funds etc
Hilary - supports tax increases, supports social welfare spending increases, does NOT support closing loopholes for the very rich, supports bigger gov't ... would probably be taken as neutral by Wall St., hedge funds etc. Also a big supporter of certain subsidy policies, meaning that solar / ethanol / wind power related stocks could take off.
McCain - arguably supports tax increases or at least opposes tax cuts, supports social welfare spending increases (via amnesty), arguably supports bigger gov't or at least opposes reduction in gov't ... would probably be taken badly by Wall St, hedge funds etc. However, McCain is seen as being strong on defense, meaning that aircraft / weapons builders / military contractor stocks could take off.
Romney - supports tax cuts, opposes social welfare spending increases, arguably supports smaller gov't or at least opposes bigger gov't ... would probably be taken very well by Wall St., hedge funds.
The 'tin foil hat' crowd is of the opinion that, with Fred Thompson and Rudy Giuliani now out of the running, and with no other candidates besides the abovementioned four actually having a serious chance of getting the nomination, that if Romney is sent packing after the Super Tuesday primary results are in leaving McCain as the likely nominee, no Wall St. or hedge fund response is likely to be positive. And if the Super Tuesday primary results favor Barack over Hilary, expect a very negative response from Wall St. and the hedge funds. However, if Hilary regains momentum the Wall St. response is likely to be more or less neutral.



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