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Thread: chart of the week - stock market sentiment

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    Banned Melonie's Avatar
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    Default chart of the week - stock market sentiment

    from CapitalStool.com



    (snip)The two highest occurrences of bearishness were just before war broke out in the middle east. Of course the consumer neglects that Military Keynesianism sees this as highly bullish for growth.

    Today I don't see that the general populace has any fear of a military strike in the middle east. There's no public news of an imminent strike. So the consumer is definitely afraid of something else other than war. It's the worst sentiment ever on a non geopolitic event and I think that speaks volumes in itself. People are feeling the pinch at home, jobs have been lost, the grocery bill is getting gruesome, RE sucks and will continue too, gubermint rebates aren't enough to even fill up the family cars... How do you think this inquiry would look like if it were made back in late 1929? "(snip)

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    Default Re: chart of the week - stock market sentiment

    In 1929, the overwhelming majority of consumers probably would have expected the market to rise over the next year.

    Warren Buffett once said, "Be fearful when others are greedy. Be greedy when others are fearful."

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    Default Re: chart of the week - stock market sentiment

    ^^^ it was actually three years worth of cyclic declines eventually leading to a 1932 bottom that 'wiped out' conservative investors ...




    so the 64k question is whether or not the current situation with US stock markets is a potential replay of July/August of 1930 i.e. a bear market rebound with lots of room to the downside still to come ?

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    Default Re: chart of the week - stock market sentiment

    Once again, the conservative, sandwich-heavy portfolio pays off for the hungry investor
    - Dr John Zoidberg

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    Default Re: chart of the week - stock market sentiment

    ^^^ ain't it the sad truth (your investor emotions chart !)

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