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Thread: Electoral Count/Congress predictions - lets hear them

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    Default Electoral Count/Congress predictions - lets hear them

    Note: This prediction is for what you think is going to happen, not necessarily for what you wish to happen. Here's the map stating what each state is worth.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:U...ollege_Map.PNG

    Remember your count for both candidates must equal 538.

    I'm going to go with Obama 301, McCain 237

    For the House: Dems 249, GOP 186 (must equal 435)

    For the Senate: Dems 57, GOP 43(must equal 100)
    Former SCJ now in rehab.

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    Default Re: Electoral Count/Congress predictions - lets hear them

    I'm going with the Pros at fivethirtyeight.com

    Obama - 346
    McCain - 191
    "A stupid man's report of what a clever man says is never accurate because he unconsciously translates what he hears into something he can understand." - Bertrand Russell

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    Default Re: Electoral Count/Congress predictions - lets hear them

    Quote Originally Posted by Pan Dah View Post
    Also, bear in mind it's Dems 37, GOP 26 (Ind 2) at the starting line.
    I kept wondering why my spreadsheet was only adding up to 433. Thanks.
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    Default Re: Electoral Count/Congress predictions - lets hear them

    McCain 270 Obama 270 DEAD HEAT ... which will then be decided in Obama's favor by a democratic congress.

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    Default Re: Electoral Count/Congress predictions - lets hear them

    Obama wins the popular vote 53- 47 %

    Obama wins the Electoral College 318- 220.

    Dems expand their Senate lead to 57 ( plus 2 Indies) to 41 Republicans.

    Dems House lead goes to 245 ( plus 2 indies) to 188.

    Obama will be the first Democrat since Carter in 1976 to win more than 50% of the popular vote.

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    Default Re: Electoral Count/Congress predictions - lets hear them

    the dead-heat scenario is 269-269.

    my projection for president is obama 353, mccain 185.

    i'll go 247 Dems for the House and 57 Dems for the Senate.

    i would also take eric's side bet re: 50% of the vote.
    Last edited by miabella; 11-03-2008 at 10:31 AM. Reason: eta: predictions.

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    Default Re: Electoral Count/Congress predictions - lets hear them

    Quote Originally Posted by Eric Stoner View Post
    Obama wins the popular vote 53- 47 %

    Obama wins the Electoral College 318- 220.

    Dems expand their Senate lead to 57 ( plus 2 Indies) to 41 Republicans.

    Dems House lead goes to 245 ( plus 2 indies) to 188.

    Obama will be the first Democrat since Carter in 1976 to win more than 50% of the popular vote.
    Except for the Electoral vote, I was pretty much on target.

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    Default Re: Electoral Count/Congress predictions - lets hear them

    It went even more Democratic that your predictions, particularly for the presidency. But some counts are not final yet

    -----

    'your' meaning all the above.
    Last edited by threlayer; 11-05-2008 at 03:23 PM. Reason: add
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    Default Re: Electoral Count/Congress predictions - lets hear them

    Quote Originally Posted by threlayer View Post
    It went even more Democratic that your predictions, particularly for the presidency. But some counts are not final yet
    Huh ? I predicted Obama 53- 47% and it's 52- 46 %.

    I was too cautious in my E.C. numbers and in my Dem. house gains- they gained 11 more seats than I thought.

    In the Senate; there is a recount in Minnesota; a run-off in Georgia but Republicans appear to be winning Oregon and Alaska. I predicted 57 Dems; 2 Indies and 41 Republicans.

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